

If the closure of the straits leads to the end of Trump’s plans
Oh, absolutely, I’m just not sure it will. On one hand, his constituents could see him as ineffective and withdraw their support, but previous experience tells us this is unlikely. On the other hand, economical hardships historically tend to increase support for the far right. And while the military needs fuel, there is no realistic scenario in which the US cannot source enough to continue the war.
Just a general advice, even when your father writes something completely outlandish, try not to “debunk” it. Instead ask soft, nonconfrontational questions to help him find the truth on his own. Be clear about nonreliable sources, but don’t dwell and always approach with curiosity (“Fox news is not a good source. Have you seen it somewhere else? I’d like to learn more”). The goal is to be seen as a partner. Nobody likes to be lectured, and parents in particular usually reject their children’s attempts to teach them anything.