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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • In the link you sent

    His net approval rating in our average dropped from -12.0 on Monday to -12.9 today.

    RCP is actually showing a higher approval rating than my linked one from Nate Silver.

    I think the important part is that the RCP one is also headed down

    In RealClearPolitics’ straightforward polling averages, Trump’s net job approval dropped from minus-8.6 percent on January 9 to minus-13.2 percent a week later.

    Also

    The freshest polling is unusually negative, with CNN showing minus-19 percent net approval (40 percent approval, 59 percent disapproval).

    Public opinion might change in a week when we get distracted with the next thing, and I think either way it’s going to have to get a lot more intensely negative to have any kind of impact, but I think at least there is good reason to believe that most Americans are upset by the murder of Renee Good specifically and ICE brutalizing the country generally




  • That page is still showing his average dropping a whole point in less than a week, and it seems like almost everyone else is showing an even more pronounced slide (arc)

    In RealClearPolitics’ straightforward polling averages, Trump’s net job approval dropped from minus-8.6 percent on January 9 to minus-13.2 percent a week later. Silver Bulletin’s more nuanced averages place his net approval at pretty much the same place: minus-13.1 percent. At the relatively new FiftyPlusOne site, Trump’s net approval is all the way down to minus-16 percent. The freshest polling is unusually negative, with CNN showing minus-19 percent net approval (40 percent approval, 59 percent disapproval). Marist is showing minus-18 percent net approval (39 percent approval, 57 percent disapproval), and Reuters-Ipsos is showing minus-17 percent net approval (41 percent approval, 58 percent disapproval). For a while now, even Trump’s favorite polling outlet, Rasmussen Reports, has placed his job approval well underwater (net approval is minus-8 percent now).