Uh… the only 2 “sources” for the article are from online betting sites.
I treat every bit of “news” from those sources (Kalshi, Polymarket) as outright manipulation. They have a vested interest in presenting either one of two sides, depending on how the odds fall that day. But they have zero duty to truth.
Why are we pretending that Kalshi matters? Unless there are insiders betting, which has its own separate problems
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I would laugh my ass off if Mark Carney actually won the Nobel Peace Prize.
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The downside would be that Trump would certainly throw the mother of all temper tantrums, and possibly order a military invasion of Canada.
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Mark Carney really has not done anything yet deserving of a Nobel Peace Prize (although that might change if he is as successful in founding a newer world order as he hopes, including robust climate change measures).
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