I’m not sure about the troop readiness these days, but afaik, USA is currently very close to its military capacity.
For everything it’s doing by having a quarter of 1 million troop stationed around the world and having between 3 and 5 Aircraft carrier groups floating around the world if they fully commit to an armed conflict with Venezuela they are basically spent.
That’s the moment any army can decide to do whatever the fuck they want and the USA can really basically only bark and look on. (Technically they could of course fight, but that would mean they sacrifice actual defence of homeland). So that would mean that China could take Taiwan, Russia could really take Ukraine or even poke further into Europe. Not to mention the Middle East would basically be without a guard dog.
If this happens this most likely would be the final nail in the coffin of the US Empire and almost analogous with how the Roman empire crumbled. (And of course the ultimate payoff for Vladdy to have helped Donnie get in the White House).
I don’t think there’s a whole lot of risk that the USA will try to take Canada or Greenland because of this.
There are people who are saying that we are at the same point as we were in Germany In the 1930s. I would argue this is much closer to Hitler having just taken all of Europe and now deciding to also go and take on The Russians.
Also don’t forget that Trump is truly one of the dumbest strategists we’ve ever had. The only success he’s having is because he has a very well oiled machine but even a well oiled machine has absolute nonnegotiable thresholds which Donald and Drunk Pete will probably try to ignore by renaming a department from defence to war and by hoping that will work.
Curious what others think about this situation?
E: spelling
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US military doctrine has been to maintain the capacity to handle two simultaneous wars. I think they’ll be fine.
That’s pretty outdated. https://www.npr.org/2025/02/05/g-s1-46567/how-a-military-recruitment-crisis-is-leaving-the-u-s-vulnerable
The military has never been used for domestic law enforcement. It’s never had to guard Taiwan, south china sea, Iran, still a presence in Iraq and now a 15,000 troop deployment to the Caribbean.
Not to mention the morons in charge fired every capable military general last year.
Even if the 2 simultaneous conflicts is still holding, they are logistically already spent on at least one, with everything that is happening. If they need to jump in for a NATO article 5 they would not have much bandwidth for much else.
Iraq war 3…this time it’s Venezuela.
Iraq war 2 that was all they were doing.
A US military occupation of Venezuela has no chance in succeeding.
The people of Venezuela understand this moment better than Trump or any of his administration and staff do.
From within the empire we are always forgetting, we have to in order to keep the empire from collapsing into contradictions, but for Venezuelans this is a story they have very much not forgot so why would the plan work? The Venezuelan people can recall the details of these plans before they are ever even conceived of or written down, so then how could the US imperial project here succeed?